Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrew Craig vs Billy Ray Goff

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record9-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'10"
TBDReach72"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team TookeTeamDexter MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andrew CraigNow 1631
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615
Billy Ray GoffNow 1628
If they win+16→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1612

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1634 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.39
Sig. strikes / min
8.56
40%
Strike accuracy
46%
3.01
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.71
51%
Strike defense
59%
0.53
Takedown avg.
2.01
38%
Takedown accuracy
18%
72%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Andrew CraigBilly Ray Goff
16501700201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (33%)
KO/TKO
7 (78%)
1 (11%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (56%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Billy Ray Goff59%
Andrew Craig 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Billy Ray Goff a 59% favorite over Andrew Craig in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Andrew Craig's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1631 vs 1628), separated by just 3 points.

Andrew Craig enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Billy Ray Goff enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Andrew Craig finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Billy Ray Goff 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.