Andrew Craig vs Cezar Ferreira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-4-0Record14-11-0
WelterweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight216 lbs
Team TookeTeamMMA Masters
What's at stake
Andrew Craig is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Cezar Ferreira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1646
If they lose-18→ 1614
If they win+13→ 1605
If they lose-11→ 1581
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1634 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1659 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Andrew CraigCezar Ferreira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Andrew Craig and Cezar Ferreira within a point of even.
Andrew Craig holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1632 to 1592, a 40-point edge.
Andrew Craig enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Cezar Ferreira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Andrew Craig finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Cezar Ferreira 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.