Andrew Craig vs Chris Leben
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-4-0Record22-12-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team TookeTeamAlliance MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615
If they win+12→ 1647
If they lose-12→ 1623
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1634 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1630 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andrew CraigChris Leben
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Andrew Craig60%
Chris Leben 40%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Andrew Craig a 60% favorite over Chris Leben in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chris Leben's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1631 vs 1635), separated by just 4 points.
Andrew Craig enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Chris Leben enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Andrew Craig finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Chris Leben 77%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.