Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrew Craig vs Gary Balletto

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record11-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'9"
TBDReach70"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team TookeTeamTri-Force MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andrew CraigNow 1631
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615
Gary BallettoNow 1633
If they win+16→ 1649
If they lose-16→ 1617

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1634 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.39
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
40%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.01
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
51%
Strike defense
TBD
0.53
Takedown avg.
TBD
38%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
72%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Andrew CraigGary Balletto
160016501700201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (33%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
1 (11%)
Submission
7 (64%)
5 (56%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Gary Balletto56%
Andrew Craig 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Gary Balletto a 56% favorite over Andrew Craig in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1631 vs 1633), separated by just 2 points.

Andrew Craig enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Gary Balletto enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Andrew Craig finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Gary Balletto 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.