Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrew Craig vs Khamzat Abaev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record6-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
TBDReach71"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team TookeTeamTeam Terranova ASBL

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andrew CraigNow 1631
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615
Khamzat AbaevNow 1629
If they win+24→ 1653
If they lose-24→ 1605

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1634 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.39
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
40%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.01
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
51%
Strike defense
TBD
0.53
Takedown avg.
TBD
38%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
72%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Andrew CraigKhamzat Abaev
1600165017002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (33%)
KO/TKO
5 (83%)
1 (11%)
Submission
1 (17%)
5 (56%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Khamzat Abaev63%
Andrew Craig 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Khamzat Abaev a 63% favorite over Andrew Craig in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Andrew Craig's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1631 vs 1629), separated by just 2 points.

Andrew Craig enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Andrew Craig finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Khamzat Abaev 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.