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Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrew Craig vs Kyle Noke

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Kyle Noke
au

Kyle Noke

“KO”

22-10-1WelterweightUFC

1640Solid

Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record22-10-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'1"
TBDReach76,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team TookeTeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andrew CraigNow 1632
If they win+16→ 1648
If they lose-16→ 1616
Kyle NokeNow 1640
If they win+12→ 1652
If they lose-12→ 1628

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1634 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1661 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.39
Sig. strikes / min
3.23
40%
Strike accuracy
51%
3.01
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.09
51%
Strike defense
64%
0.53
Takedown avg.
1.53
38%
Takedown accuracy
55%
72%
Takedown defense
67%
0
Submission avg.
0.76

Trajectory

Andrew CraigKyle Noke
16501700201420152016

Win method breakdown

3 (33%)
KO/TKO
9 (41%)
1 (11%)
Submission
7 (32%)
5 (56%)
Decision
6 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Kyle Noke56%
Andrew Craig 44%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Kyle Noke a 56% favorite over Andrew Craig in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1632 vs 1640), separated by just 8 points.

Andrew Craig enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Kyle Noke enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Andrew Craig finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Kyle Noke 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.