Andrew Craig vs Oban Elliott
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-4-0Record12-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'11"
TBDReach72"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team TookeTeamShore MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1634 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andrew CraigOban Elliott
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Oban Elliott66%
Andrew Craig 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Oban Elliott a 66% favorite over Andrew Craig in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1631 vs 1634), separated by just 3 points.
Andrew Craig enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Oban Elliott enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Andrew Craig finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Oban Elliott 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.