Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrew Craig vs Ronny Markes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record23-10-0
WelterweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight245 lbs
Team TookeTeamNova Uniao RM

What's at stake

Andrew Craig is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Ronny Markes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Andrew CraigNow 1631
If they win+14→ 1645
If they lose-18→ 1613
Ronny MarkesNow 1579
If they win+14→ 1593
If they lose-10→ 1569

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1634 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.39
Sig. strikes / min
2.17
40%
Strike accuracy
53%
3.01
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.43
51%
Strike defense
46%
0.53
Takedown avg.
3.13
38%
Takedown accuracy
40%
72%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0.52

Trajectory

Andrew CraigRonny Markes
15501600165017002014201520162017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

3 (33%)
KO/TKO
9 (39%)
1 (11%)
Submission
7 (30%)
5 (56%)
Decision
7 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Andrew Craig56%
Ronny Markes 44%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Andrew Craig a 56% favorite over Ronny Markes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Andrew Craig holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1631 to 1579, a 52-point edge.

Andrew Craig enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Andrew Craig finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Ronny Markes 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.