Andrew Holbrook vs Jessin Ayari
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-3-0Record16-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height6'0"
70,0"Reach73,5"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Indy Boxing & GrapplingTeamHammers Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636
If they win+16→ 1667
If they lose-16→ 1635
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andrew HolbrookJessin Ayari
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jessin Ayari56%
Andrew Holbrook 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jessin Ayari a 56% favorite over Andrew Holbrook in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Andrew Holbrook's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1651), separated by just 1 points.
Andrew Holbrook enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jessin Ayari enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Andrew Holbrook finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Jessin Ayari 69%.
Jessin Ayari carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.