Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrew Holbrook vs Joaquim Silva

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-3-0Record14-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'8"
70,0"Reach69"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Indy Boxing & GrapplingTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andrew HolbrookNow 1652
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636
Joaquim SilvaNow 1650
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-16→ 1634

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.20
Sig. strikes / min
3.66
49%
Strike accuracy
43%
3
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.53
54%
Strike defense
53%
0.85
Takedown avg.
0.39
18%
Takedown accuracy
50%
10%
Takedown defense
69%
2.12
Submission avg.
0.78

Trajectory

Andrew HolbrookJoaquim Silva
165017002016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (8%)
KO/TKO
7 (50%)
9 (75%)
Submission
3 (21%)
2 (17%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Joaquim Silva56%
Andrew Holbrook 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Joaquim Silva a 56% favorite over Andrew Holbrook in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Andrew Holbrook's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1650), separated by just 2 points.

Andrew Holbrook enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Andrew Holbrook finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Joaquim Silva 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.