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Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrew Montanez vs Axel Nobou

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

9-12-1Record5-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
165 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andrew MontanezNow 1475
If they win+16→ 1491
If they lose-16→ 1459
Axel NobouNow 1475
If they win+16→ 1491
If they lose-16→ 1459

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1536 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Andrew MontanezAxel Nobou
145015001550200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
3 (60%)
4 (44%)
Submission
2 (40%)
1 (11%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Andrew Montanez54%
Axel Nobou 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Andrew Montanez a 54% favorite over Axel Nobou in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1475 vs 1475), separated by just 0 points.

Andrew Montanez enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Axel Nobou enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Andrew Montanez finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Axel Nobou 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.