Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrew Montanez vs Jorge Chacon

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-12-1Record0-1-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'8"Height5'10"
TBDReach-
165 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andrew MontanezNow 1475
If they win+16→ 1491
If they lose-16→ 1459
Jorge ChaconNow 1478
If they win+24→ 1502
If they lose-24→ 1454

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1536 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Andrew MontanezJorge Chacon
145015002008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
4 (44%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (11%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Jorge Chacon70%
Andrew Montanez 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jorge Chacon a 70% favorite over Andrew Montanez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1475 vs 1478), separated by just 3 points.

Andrew Montanez enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Andrew Montanez finishes 89% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.