Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrew Sanchez vs Deron Winn

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

14-9-0Record7-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'6"
76"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Tristar GymTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andrew SanchezNow 1593
If they win+16→ 1609
If they lose-16→ 1577
Deron WinnNow 1596
If they win+16→ 1612
If they lose-16→ 1580

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1657 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1570 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.30
Sig. strikes / min
4.55
44%
Strike accuracy
45%
5.10
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.21
51%
Strike defense
46%
2.55
Takedown avg.
4.28
37%
Takedown accuracy
53%
100%
Takedown defense
40%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Andrew SanchezDeron Winn
16001650202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (43%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
2 (14%)
Submission
0 (0%)
6 (43%)
Decision
3 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Deron Winn66%
Andrew Sanchez 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Deron Winn a 66% favorite over Andrew Sanchez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1593 vs 1596), separated by just 3 points.

Andrew Sanchez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Andrew Sanchez finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Deron Winn 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.