Andrew Sanchez vs Joseph Holmes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-9-0Record8-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'4"
76"Reach 80"
205 lbsWeight189 lbs
Tristar GymTeamWAR Training Center
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1612
If they lose-16→ 1580
If they win+16→ 1610
If they lose-16→ 1578
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1663 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1570 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Andrew SanchezJoseph Holmes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Andrew Sanchez56%
Joseph Holmes 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Andrew Sanchez a 56% favorite over Joseph Holmes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1596 vs 1594), separated by just 2 points.
Andrew Sanchez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joseph Holmes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Andrew Sanchez finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Joseph Holmes 100%.
Joseph Holmes carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.