Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrew Sanchez vs Makhmud Muradov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-9-0Record28-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'2"
76"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Tristar GymTeamAnkos MMA

What's at stake

Makhmud Muradov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Andrew Sanchez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Andrew SanchezNow 1593
If they win+22→ 1615
If they lose-10→ 1583
Makhmud MuradovNow 1723
If they win+8→ 1731
If they lose-16→ 1707

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1657 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1626 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.30
Sig. strikes / min
4.21
44%
Strike accuracy
44%
5.10
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.57
51%
Strike defense
61%
2.55
Takedown avg.
3.03
37%
Takedown accuracy
67%
100%
Takedown defense
78%
0
Submission avg.
0.19

Trajectory

Andrew SanchezMakhmud Muradov
160016501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (43%)
KO/TKO
18 (64%)
2 (14%)
Submission
3 (11%)
6 (43%)
Decision
7 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Makhmud Muradov76%
Andrew Sanchez 24%Elo baseline: 68%

The Combat Edge model makes Makhmud Muradov a 76% favorite over Andrew Sanchez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).

Makhmud Muradov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1723 to 1593, a 130-point edge.

Andrew Sanchez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Makhmud Muradov enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Andrew Sanchez finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Makhmud Muradov 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.