Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrew Sanchez vs Makhmud Muradov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-9-0Record30-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'2"
76"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Tristar GymTeamAnkos MMA· 1671 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

Makhmud Muradov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Andrew Sanchez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Andrew SanchezNow 1594
If they win+22→ 1616
If they lose-10→ 1584
Makhmud MuradovNow 1736
If they win+7→ 1743
If they lose-17→ 1719

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1660 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.30
Sig. strikes / min
4.21
44%
Strike accuracy
44%
5.10
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.57
51%
Strike defense
61%
2.55
Takedown avg.
3.03
37%
Takedown accuracy
0%
100%
Takedown defense
78%
0
Submission avg.
0.19

Trajectory

Andrew SanchezMakhmud Muradov
1600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (43%)
KO/TKO
19 (63%)
2 (14%)
Submission
3 (10%)
6 (43%)
Decision
8 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Makhmud Muradov92%
Andrew Sanchez 8%Elo baseline: 69%

The Combat Edge model makes Makhmud Muradov a 92% favorite over Andrew Sanchez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).

Makhmud Muradov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1736 to 1594, a 142-point edge.

Andrew Sanchez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Makhmud Muradov enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Andrew Sanchez finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Makhmud Muradov 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.