Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrew Sanchez vs Ryan Janes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-9-0Record10-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'3"
76"Reach76.50
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Tristar GymTeamZugec Ultimate Martial Arts

What's at stake

Andrew Sanchez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Ryan Janes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Andrew SanchezNow 1593
If they win+14→ 1607
If they lose-18→ 1575
Ryan JanesNow 1559
If they win+26→ 1585
If they lose-22→ 1537

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1657 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.30
Sig. strikes / min
7.69
44%
Strike accuracy
48%
5.10
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.53
51%
Strike defense
59%
2.55
Takedown avg.
0.35
37%
Takedown accuracy
100%
100%
Takedown defense
58%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Andrew SanchezRyan Janes
150015501600201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (43%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
2 (14%)
Submission
6 (60%)
6 (43%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Andrew Sanchez53%
Ryan Janes 47%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Andrew Sanchez a 53% favorite over Ryan Janes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Andrew Sanchez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1593 to 1559, a 34-point edge.

Andrew Sanchez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Andrew Sanchez finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Janes 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.