Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrew Sanchez vs Steve Vigneault

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-9-0Record12-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'10"
76"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight169 lbs
Tristar GymTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andrew SanchezNow 1593
If they win+16→ 1609
If they lose-16→ 1577
Steve VigneaultNow 1592
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1657 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.30
Sig. strikes / min
2.79
44%
Strike accuracy
46%
5.10
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
9.77
51%
Strike defense
45%
2.55
Takedown avg.
0
37%
Takedown accuracy
0%
100%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Andrew SanchezSteve Vigneault
16002010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (43%)
KO/TKO
9 (75%)
2 (14%)
Submission
1 (8%)
6 (43%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Andrew Sanchez52%
Steve Vigneault 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Andrew Sanchez a 52% favorite over Steve Vigneault in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1593 vs 1592), separated by just 1 points.

Andrew Sanchez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Andrew Sanchez finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Steve Vigneault 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.