Andrew Sanchez vs Trevor Smith
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-9-0Record15-10-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'3"
76"Reach41,5"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Tristar GymTeamRing Demon Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1610
If they lose-16→ 1578
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-16→ 1584
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1660 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andrew SanchezTrevor Smith
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Andrew Sanchez53%
Trevor Smith 47%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Andrew Sanchez a 53% favorite over Trevor Smith in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Trevor Smith's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1594 vs 1600), separated by just 6 points.
Andrew Sanchez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Trevor Smith enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Andrew Sanchez finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Trevor Smith 67%.
Andrew Sanchez and Trevor Smith share 1 common opponent: Makhmud Muradov.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.