Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrew Stewart vs Antônio Braga Neto

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-2-0Record9-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'3"
74"Reach77,0"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Nashville MMA Training CampTeamTeam Nogueira

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andrew StewartNow 1579
If they win+24→ 1603
If they lose-24→ 1555
Antônio Braga NetoNow 1583
If they win+24→ 1607
If they lose-24→ 1559

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1508 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1606 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.36
TBD
Strike accuracy
33%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.92
TBD
Strike defense
45%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.07
TBD
Takedown accuracy
38%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.51

Trajectory

Andrew StewartAntônio Braga Neto
15501600201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (67%)
KO/TKO
1 (11%)
0 (0%)
Submission
7 (78%)
2 (33%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Andrew Stewart70%
Antônio Braga Neto 30%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Andrew Stewart a 70% favorite over Antônio Braga Neto in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Antônio Braga Neto's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1579 vs 1583), separated by just 4 points.

Antônio Braga Neto enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Andrew Stewart finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Antônio Braga Neto 89%.

Antônio Braga Neto carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.