Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrew Stewart vs Daniel Sarafian

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

6-2-0Record11-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'9"
74"ReachTBD
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Nashville MMA Training CampTeamPower MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andrew StewartNow 1579
If they win+24→ 1603
If they lose-24→ 1555
Daniel SarafianNow 1579
If they win+16→ 1595
If they lose-16→ 1563

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1508 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1548 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Andrew StewartDaniel Sarafian
155016002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (67%)
KO/TKO
1 (9%)
0 (0%)
Submission
7 (64%)
2 (33%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Andrew Stewart63%
Daniel Sarafian 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Andrew Stewart a 63% favorite over Daniel Sarafian in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1579 vs 1579), separated by just 0 points.

Daniel Sarafian enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Andrew Stewart finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Daniel Sarafian 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.