Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrew Stewart vs Ivan Valenzuela

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-2-0Record8-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'2"
74"ReachTBD
186 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andrew StewartNow 1578
If they win+24→ 1602
If they lose-24→ 1554
Ivan ValenzuelaNow 1578
If they win+16→ 1594
If they lose-16→ 1562

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1503 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0
TBD
Strike accuracy
0%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
9.60
TBD
Strike defense
33%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Andrew StewartIvan Valenzuela
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (67%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (38%)
2 (33%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Andrew Stewart60%
Ivan Valenzuela 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Andrew Stewart a 60% favorite over Ivan Valenzuela in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1578 vs 1578), separated by just 0 points.

Ivan Valenzuela enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Andrew Stewart finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Ivan Valenzuela 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.