Andrew Stewart vs Joaquin Garcia
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-2-0Record3-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
74"Reach-
186 lbsWeight175 lbs
Nashville MMA Training CampTeamTeam Oyama· 1650 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1602
If they lose-24→ 1554
If they win+24→ 1603
If they lose-24→ 1555
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1506 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andrew StewartJoaquin Garcia
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joaquin Garcia53%
Andrew Stewart 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Joaquin Garcia a 53% favorite over Andrew Stewart in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1578 vs 1579), separated by just 1 points.
Joaquin Garcia enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Andrew Stewart finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Joaquin Garcia 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.