Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrew Stewart vs Julian Marquez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Julian Marquez
us

Julian Marquez

“The Cuban Missile Crisis”

9-6-0MiddleweightUFC

1576Solid

Tale of the tape

6-2-0Record9-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'2"
74"Reach72"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andrew StewartNow 1578
If they win+24→ 1602
If they lose-24→ 1554
Julian MarquezNow 1576
If they win+16→ 1592
If they lose-16→ 1560

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1503 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1618 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.85
TBD
Strike accuracy
45%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.06
TBD
Strike defense
51%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
53%
TBD
Submission avg.
2.57

Trajectory

Andrew StewartJulian Marquez
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (67%)
KO/TKO
6 (67%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (33%)
2 (33%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Andrew Stewart64%
Julian Marquez 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Andrew Stewart a 64% favorite over Julian Marquez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1578 vs 1576), separated by just 2 points.

Julian Marquez enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Andrew Stewart finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Julian Marquez 100%.

Andrew Stewart carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.