Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrew Stewart vs Ricardo Abreu

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

6-2-0Record5-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'11"
74"Reach73,0"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Nashville MMA Training CampTeamWand Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andrew StewartNow 1579
If they win+24→ 1603
If they lose-24→ 1555
Ricardo AbreuNow 1577
If they win+24→ 1601
If they lose-24→ 1553

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1508 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.79
TBD
Strike accuracy
32%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.98
TBD
Strike defense
68%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.13
TBD
Takedown accuracy
43%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.71

Trajectory

Andrew StewartRicardo Abreu
155016002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (67%)
KO/TKO
3 (60%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (40%)
2 (33%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Andrew Stewart63%
Ricardo Abreu 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Andrew Stewart a 63% favorite over Ricardo Abreu in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1579 vs 1577), separated by just 2 points.

Andrew Stewart finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Ricardo Abreu 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.