Andrew Stewart vs Shane Sobnosky
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-2-0Record9-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
74"Reach72"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
What's at stake
Andrew Stewart is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Shane Sobnosky carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1599
If they lose-27→ 1551
If they win+18→ 1554
If they lose-14→ 1522
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1503 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andrew StewartShane Sobnosky
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Andrew Stewart51%
Shane Sobnosky 49%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Andrew Stewart a 51% favorite over Shane Sobnosky in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Andrew Stewart holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1578 to 1536, a 42-point edge.
Andrew Stewart finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Shane Sobnosky 67%.
Andrew Stewart carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.