Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrew Todhunter vs César Almeida

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-0-0Record7-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
40,0"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Clinch Martial Arts AcademyTeamLotus MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andrew TodhunterNow 1652
If they win+24→ 1676
If they lose-24→ 1628
César AlmeidaNow 1654
If they win+24→ 1678
If they lose-24→ 1630

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1471 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1607 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
3.46
TBD
Strike accuracy
59%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.03
TBD
Strike defense
46%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
52%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.21

Trajectory

Andrew TodhunterCésar Almeida
1600165020152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
5 (71%)
8 (100%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

César Almeida57%
Andrew Todhunter 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes César Almeida a 57% favorite over Andrew Todhunter in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1654), separated by just 2 points.

Andrew Todhunter enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Andrew Todhunter finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, César Almeida 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.