Andrew Valladerez vs Hiroya Kondo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-7-0Record10-16-1
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
TBDHeight5'5"
TBDReach-
125 lbsWeight126 lbs
Cung Le's Universal Strength HeadquartersTeamJapan Top Team· 1639 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1496
If they lose-16→ 1464
If they win+12→ 1488
If they lose-12→ 1464
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1514 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andrew ValladerezHiroya Kondo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Hiroya Kondo62%
Andrew Valladerez 38%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Hiroya Kondo a 62% favorite over Andrew Valladerez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Andrew Valladerez's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1480 vs 1476), separated by just 4 points.
Andrew Valladerez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Hiroya Kondo enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Andrew Valladerez finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Hiroya Kondo 70%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.