Andrew Valladerez vs Josua Hernández
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-7-0Record2-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
TBDHeight5'4"
TBDReach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Cung Le's Universal Strength HeadquartersTeamInvictus No Love Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1496
If they lose-16→ 1464
If they win+24→ 1502
If they lose-24→ 1454
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1514 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1499 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andrew ValladerezJosua Hernández
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Josua Hernández66%
Andrew Valladerez 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Josua Hernández a 66% favorite over Andrew Valladerez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Andrew Valladerez's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1480 vs 1478), separated by just 2 points.
Andrew Valladerez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Andrew Valladerez finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.