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Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrey Koshkin vs Chris Lytle

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Chris Lytle
us

Chris Lytle

“Lights Out”

31-18-5WelterweightB2GS

1706Good

Tale of the tape

28-11-0Record31-18-5
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'11"
-ReachTBD
172 lbsWeight170 lbs
Russian Top TeamTeamIntegrated Fighting Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andrey KoshkinNow 1706
If they win+12→ 1718
If they lose-12→ 1694
Chris LytleNow 1706
If they win+12→ 1718
If they lose-12→ 1694

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1615 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1626 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.76
Not available
Strike accuracy
45%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.03
Not available
Strike defense
58%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.70
Not available
Takedown accuracy
55%
Not available
Takedown defense
55%
Not available
Submission avg.
2.36

Trajectory

Andrey KoshkinChris Lytle
16501700200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (36%)
KO/TKO
6 (19%)
3 (11%)
Submission
19 (61%)
15 (54%)
Decision
6 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

Andrey Koshkin58%
Chris Lytle 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Andrey Koshkin a 58% favorite over Chris Lytle in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1706 vs 1706), separated by just 0 points.

Andrey Koshkin enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Andrey Koshkin finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Chris Lytle 81%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.