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Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrey Koshkin vs Herdeson Batista

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

28-11-0Record22-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'7"
-Reach-
172 lbsWeight155 lbs
Russian Top TeamTeamTeam Nogueira· 1595 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

Andrey Koshkin is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Herdeson Batista carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Andrey KoshkinNow 1706
If they win+10→ 1716
If they lose-14→ 1692
Herdeson BatistaNow 1658
If they win+18→ 1676
If they lose-14→ 1644

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1615 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1655 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Andrey KoshkinHerdeson Batista
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (36%)
KO/TKO
11 (50%)
3 (11%)
Submission
3 (14%)
15 (54%)
Decision
8 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Andrey Koshkin58%
Herdeson Batista 42%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Andrey Koshkin a 58% favorite over Herdeson Batista in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Andrey Koshkin holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1706 to 1658, a 48-point edge.

Andrey Koshkin enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Herdeson Batista enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Andrey Koshkin finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Herdeson Batista 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.