Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrey Pulyaev vs Christian Leroy Duncan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record15-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'2"
78"Reach79"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

Christian Leroy Duncan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Andrey Pulyaev carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Andrey PulyaevNow 1610
If they win+23→ 1633
If they lose-9→ 1601
Christian Leroy DuncanNow 1761
If they win+9→ 1770
If they lose-23→ 1738

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1666 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.84
Sig. strikes / min
4.43
56%
Strike accuracy
58%
3.14
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.59
55%
Strike defense
53%
0.29
Takedown avg.
0.33
17%
Takedown accuracy
17%
64%
Takedown defense
63%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Andrey PulyaevChristian Leroy Duncan
1600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (60%)
KO/TKO
10 (67%)
2 (20%)
Submission
1 (7%)
2 (20%)
Decision
4 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Christian Leroy Duncan87%
Andrey Pulyaev 13%Elo baseline: 70%

The Combat Edge model makes Christian Leroy Duncan a 87% favorite over Andrey Pulyaev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).

Christian Leroy Duncan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1761 to 1610, a 151-point edge.

Andrey Pulyaev enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Christian Leroy Duncan enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Andrey Pulyaev finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Christian Leroy Duncan 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.