Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrey Pulyaev vs Joseph Holmes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record8-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
78"Reach 80"
185 lbsWeight189 lbs
Storm Shlemenko Fight TeamTeamWAR Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andrey PulyaevNow 1610
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594
Joseph HolmesNow 1613
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.84
Sig. strikes / min
2.88
56%
Strike accuracy
53%
3.14
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.08
55%
Strike defense
55%
0.29
Takedown avg.
1.49
17%
Takedown accuracy
40%
64%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0.75

Trajectory

Andrey PulyaevJoseph Holmes
155016001650202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (60%)
KO/TKO
2 (25%)
2 (20%)
Submission
6 (75%)
2 (20%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Andrey Pulyaev62%
Joseph Holmes 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Andrey Pulyaev a 62% favorite over Joseph Holmes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joseph Holmes's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1610 vs 1613), separated by just 3 points.

Andrey Pulyaev enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Joseph Holmes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Andrey Pulyaev finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Joseph Holmes 100%.

Joseph Holmes carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.