Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrzej Grzebyk vs Danny Roberts

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Danny Roberts
gb-eng

Danny Roberts

“Hot Chocolate”

18-8-0WelterweightUFC

1617Solid

Tale of the tape

22-9-0Record18-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'1"
76"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andrzej GrzebykNow 1618
If they win+12→ 1630
If they lose-12→ 1606
Danny RobertsNow 1617
If they win+16→ 1633
If they lose-16→ 1601

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1654 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.18
TBD
Strike accuracy
40%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.73
TBD
Strike defense
51%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.24
TBD
Takedown accuracy
10%
TBD
Takedown defense
58%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.24

Trajectory

Andrzej GrzebykDanny Roberts
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (59%)
KO/TKO
8 (44%)
3 (14%)
Submission
5 (28%)
6 (27%)
Decision
5 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Andrzej Grzebyk60%
Danny Roberts 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Andrzej Grzebyk a 60% favorite over Danny Roberts in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1618 vs 1617), separated by just 1 points.

Andrzej Grzebyk enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Danny Roberts enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Andrzej Grzebyk finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Danny Roberts 72%.

Andrzej Grzebyk carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.