Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrzej Grzebyk vs Danny Roberts

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Danny Roberts

Danny Roberts

“Hot Chocolate”

18-8-0WelterweightUFC

1617 Solid

Tale of the tape

22-9-0 Record 18-8-0
Welterweight Division Welterweight
6'0" Height 6'1"
76" Reach 74"
170 lbs Weight 170 lbs
Ralph Gracie Rzeszow Team Team McHale

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andrzej GrzebykNow 1618
If they win+12→ 1630
If they lose-12→ 1606
Danny RobertsNow 1617
If they win+16→ 1633
If they lose-16→ 1601

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.18
TBD
Strike accuracy
40%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / min Lower is better
3.73
TBD
Strike defense
51%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.24
TBD
Takedown accuracy
10%
TBD
Takedown defense
58%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.24

Trajectory

Andrzej Grzebyk Danny Roberts
1600 1650 1700 2023 2024 2025 2026

Win method breakdown

13 (59%)
KO/TKO
8 (44%)
3 (14%)
Submission
5 (28%)
6 (27%)
Decision
5 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Andrzej Grzebyk63%
Danny Roberts37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Andrzej Grzebyk a 63% favorite over Danny Roberts in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1618 vs 1617), separated by just 1 points.

Andrzej Grzebyk enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Danny Roberts enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Andrzej Grzebyk finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Danny Roberts 72%.

Andrzej Grzebyk carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.