Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrzej Grzebyk vs James Moontasri

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-9-0Record9-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
76"Reach71,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Ralph Gracie RzeszowTeamBlack House

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andrzej GrzebykNow 1618
If they win+12→ 1630
If they lose-12→ 1606
James MoontasriNow 1616
If they win+16→ 1632
If they lose-16→ 1600

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1597 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.39
TBD
Strike accuracy
49%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.86
TBD
Strike defense
41%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
79%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.25

Trajectory

Andrzej GrzebykJames Moontasri
160016501700201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (59%)
KO/TKO
4 (44%)
3 (14%)
Submission
3 (33%)
6 (27%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Andrzej Grzebyk57%
James Moontasri 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Andrzej Grzebyk a 57% favorite over James Moontasri in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1618 vs 1616), separated by just 2 points.

Andrzej Grzebyk enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

James Moontasri enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Andrzej Grzebyk finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, James Moontasri 78%.

Andrzej Grzebyk carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.