Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrzej Grzebyk vs Jesse Taylor

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jesse Taylor
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Jesse Taylor

“JT Money”

33-17-0WelterweightBFL

1617Solid

Tale of the tape

22-9-0Record33-17-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'1"
76"Reach42,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Ralph Gracie RzeszowTeamTeam Quest

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andrzej GrzebykNow 1618
If they win+12→ 1630
If they lose-12→ 1606
Jesse TaylorNow 1617
If they win+12→ 1629
If they lose-12→ 1605

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.94
TBD
Strike accuracy
65%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.55
TBD
Strike defense
38%
TBD
Takedown avg.
7.28
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
3.12

Trajectory

Andrzej GrzebykJesse Taylor
16001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (59%)
KO/TKO
6 (18%)
3 (14%)
Submission
18 (55%)
6 (27%)
Decision
9 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Andrzej Grzebyk60%
Jesse Taylor 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Andrzej Grzebyk a 60% favorite over Jesse Taylor in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1618 vs 1617), separated by just 1 points.

Andrzej Grzebyk enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Andrzej Grzebyk finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Jesse Taylor 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.