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Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrzej Grzebyk vs Niko Price

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Niko Price
us

Niko Price

“The Hybrid”

16-11-0WelterweightUFC

1624Solid

Tale of the tape

22-9-0Record16-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
76"Reach76"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andrzej GrzebykNow 1627
If they win+12→ 1639
If they lose-12→ 1615
Niko PriceNow 1624
If they win+12→ 1636
If they lose-12→ 1612

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1691 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
5.11
Not available
Strike accuracy
43%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.57
Not available
Strike defense
48%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.06
Not available
Takedown accuracy
10%
Not available
Takedown defense
50%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.62

Trajectory

Andrzej GrzebykNiko Price
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (59%)
KO/TKO
10 (63%)
3 (14%)
Submission
3 (19%)
6 (27%)
Decision
3 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

Niko Price63%
Andrzej Grzebyk 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Niko Price a 63% favorite over Andrzej Grzebyk in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Andrzej Grzebyk's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1624), separated by just 3 points.

Andrzej Grzebyk enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Niko Price enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Andrzej Grzebyk finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Niko Price 81%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.