Andrzej Grzebyk vs Orion Cosce
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-9-0Record8-2-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'11"
76"Reach71,0"
170 lbsWeight173 lbs
Ralph Gracie RzeszowTeamLost Boys Jiu-Jitsu and Muay Thai
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1630
If they lose-12→ 1606
If they win+16→ 1633
If they lose-16→ 1601
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andrzej GrzebykOrion Cosce
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Orion Cosce60%
Andrzej Grzebyk 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Orion Cosce a 60% favorite over Andrzej Grzebyk in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Andrzej Grzebyk's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1618 vs 1617), separated by just 1 points.
Andrzej Grzebyk enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Andrzej Grzebyk finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Orion Cosce 88%.
Andrzej Grzebyk carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.