Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrzej Grzebyk vs Paul Bradley

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Paul Bradley
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Paul Bradley

“The Gentleman”

23-10-0WelterweightPFL

1616Solid

Tale of the tape

22-9-0Record23-10-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'9"
76"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Ralph Gracie RzeszowTeamAlliance MMA· 1633 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andrzej GrzebykNow 1618
If they win+12→ 1630
If they lose-12→ 1606
Paul BradleyNow 1616
If they win+12→ 1628
If they lose-12→ 1604

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Andrzej GrzebykPaul Bradley
160016502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (59%)
KO/TKO
8 (35%)
3 (14%)
Submission
7 (30%)
6 (27%)
Decision
8 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Andrzej Grzebyk63%
Paul Bradley 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Andrzej Grzebyk a 63% favorite over Paul Bradley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1618 vs 1616), separated by just 2 points.

Andrzej Grzebyk enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Paul Bradley enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Andrzej Grzebyk finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Paul Bradley 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.