Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrzej Grzebyk vs Randall Wallace

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-9-0Record20-10-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
76"Reach74,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Ralph Gracie RzeszowTeamLast Stand Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andrzej GrzebykNow 1618
If they win+12→ 1630
If they lose-12→ 1606
Randall WallaceNow 1616
If they win+12→ 1628
If they lose-12→ 1604

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1548 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.13
TBD
Strike accuracy
38%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.11
TBD
Strike defense
45%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.13
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Andrzej GrzebykRandall Wallace
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (59%)
KO/TKO
9 (45%)
3 (14%)
Submission
9 (45%)
6 (27%)
Decision
2 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Andrzej Grzebyk57%
Randall Wallace 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Andrzej Grzebyk a 57% favorite over Randall Wallace in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1618 vs 1616), separated by just 2 points.

Andrzej Grzebyk enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Andrzej Grzebyk finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Randall Wallace 90%.

Andrzej Grzebyk carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.