Andrzej Grzebyk vs Zach Scroggin
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-9-0Record7-1-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'3"
76"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight183 lbs
Ralph Gracie RzeszowTeamMarathon MMA· 1669 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1630
If they lose-12→ 1606
If they win+24→ 1647
If they lose-24→ 1599
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andrzej GrzebykZach Scroggin
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Zach Scroggin59%
Andrzej Grzebyk 41%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Zach Scroggin a 59% favorite over Andrzej Grzebyk in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1618 vs 1623), separated by just 5 points.
Andrzej Grzebyk enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Andrzej Grzebyk finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Zach Scroggin 71%.
Andrzej Grzebyk carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.