Andrzej Karkula vs Brett Johns
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-1-0Record20-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'7"
-Reach39.00
139 lbsWeight145 lbs
Nowotarski Klub Sportow WalkiTeamChris Rees Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1654
If they lose-24→ 1606
If they win+16→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1612
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1505 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1675 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Andrzej KarkulaBrett Johns
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Andrzej Karkula65%
Brett Johns 35%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Andrzej Karkula a 65% favorite over Brett Johns in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1630 vs 1628), separated by just 2 points.
Andrzej Karkula enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Brett Johns enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Andrzej Karkula finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Brett Johns 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.