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Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrzej Karkula vs Mando Gutierrez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

6-1-0Record9-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
-ReachTBD
139 lbsWeight135 lbs
Nowotarski Klub Sportow WalkiTeamMurcielago MMA· 1667 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andrzej KarkulaNow 1630
If they win+24→ 1654
If they lose-24→ 1606
Mando GutierrezNow 1631
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1505 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1553 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
0.80
Not available
Strike accuracy
75%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.33
Not available
Strike defense
50%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1
Not available
Takedown accuracy
100%
Not available
Takedown defense
40%
Not available
Submission avg.
1

Trajectory

Andrzej KarkulaMando Gutierrez
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
2 (22%)
5 (83%)
Submission
6 (67%)
1 (17%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Mando Gutierrez56%
Andrzej Karkula 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mando Gutierrez a 56% favorite over Andrzej Karkula in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1630 vs 1631), separated by just 1 points.

Andrzej Karkula enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Andrzej Karkula finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Mando Gutierrez 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.