Andrzej Karkula vs Mitch Gagnon
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-1-0Record12-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
-Reach65,5"
139 lbsWeight135 lbs
Nowotarski Klub Sportow WalkiTeamTroop MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1654
If they lose-24→ 1606
If they win+16→ 1646
If they lose-16→ 1614
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1505 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Andrzej KarkulaMitch Gagnon
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Andrzej Karkula72%
Mitch Gagnon 28%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Andrzej Karkula a 72% favorite over Mitch Gagnon in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1630 vs 1630), separated by just 0 points.
Andrzej Karkula enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Mitch Gagnon enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Andrzej Karkula finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Mitch Gagnon 92%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.