Combat Edge Intelligence

André Lima vs Brandon Royval

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-1-0Record18-9-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'7"
67″Reach68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team Lucas MineiroTeamFactory X

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

André LimaNow 1718
If they win+16→ 1734
If they lose-16→ 1702
Brandon RoyvalNow 1711
If they win+12→ 1723
If they lose-12→ 1699

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1726 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.06
Sig. strikes / min
5.54
60%
Strike accuracy
42%
2.49
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.25
58%
Strike defense
43%
1.36
Takedown avg.
0.65
75%
Takedown accuracy
75%
75%
Takedown defense
45%
1.14
Submission avg.
1.08

Trajectory

André LimaBrandon Royval
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
4 (22%)
1 (10%)
Submission
10 (56%)
4 (40%)
Decision
4 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Brandon Royval53%
André Lima 47%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Brandon Royval a 53% favorite over André Lima in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans André Lima's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1718 vs 1711), separated by just 7 points.

André Lima finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Brandon Royval 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.