André Lima vs Felipe dos Santos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-1-0Record8-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'7"
67″Reach 70"
125 lbsWeight126 lbs
Team Lucas MineiroTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima
What's at stake
André Lima is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Felipe dos Santos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1728
If they lose-22→ 1696
If they win+33→ 1615
If they lose-15→ 1567
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
André LimaFelipe dos Santos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
André Lima87%
Felipe dos Santos 13%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes André Lima a 87% favorite over Felipe dos Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
André Lima holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1718 to 1582, a 136-point edge.
Felipe dos Santos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
André Lima finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Felipe dos Santos 63%.
Felipe dos Santos carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.