André Lima vs Felipe dos Santos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-1-0Record8-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'7"
67″Reach 70"
125 lbsWeight126 lbs
Team Lucas Mineiro· 1653 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima
What's at stake
André Lima is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Felipe dos Santos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1741
If they lose-23→ 1709
If they win+23→ 1583
If they lose-9→ 1551
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1601 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1588 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
André LimaFelipe dos Santos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
André Lima74%
Felipe dos Santos 26%Elo baseline: 73%
The Combat Edge model makes André Lima a 74% favorite over Felipe dos Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).
André Lima holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1732 to 1560, a 172-point edge.
Felipe dos Santos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
André Lima finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Felipe dos Santos 63%.
Felipe dos Santos carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.