André Lima vs Mitch Raposo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-1-0Record11-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'5"
67″Reach64"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team Lucas Mineiro· 1653 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamRegiment Training Center
What's at stake
André Lima is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Mitch Raposo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1745
If they lose-19→ 1713
If they win+19→ 1689
If they lose-13→ 1657
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1601 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
André LimaMitch Raposo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
André Lima58%
Mitch Raposo 42%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes André Lima a 58% favorite over Mitch Raposo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
André Lima holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1732 to 1670, a 62-point edge.
Mitch Raposo enters on a 2-fight win streak.
André Lima finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Mitch Raposo 64%.
André Lima carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.