Combat Edge Intelligence

André Muniz vs Antonio Arroyo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

24-8-0Record10-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
78"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Tata Fight Team Montes ClarosTeamTeam Figueiredo

What's at stake

André Muniz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Antonio Arroyo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

André MunizNow 1722
If they win+7→ 1729
If they lose-17→ 1705
Antonio ArroyoNow 1574
If they win+22→ 1596
If they lose-10→ 1564

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1711 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1573 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.04
Sig. strikes / min
2.82
50%
Strike accuracy
66%
2.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.02
51%
Strike defense
50%
4.02
Takedown avg.
1.14
49%
Takedown accuracy
42%
36%
Takedown defense
42%
1.19
Submission avg.
0.23

Trajectory

André MunizAntonio Arroyo
1600165017001750202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (17%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
15 (63%)
Submission
5 (50%)
5 (21%)
Decision
1 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

André Muniz79%
Antonio Arroyo 21%Elo baseline: 70%

The Combat Edge model makes André Muniz a 79% favorite over Antonio Arroyo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).

André Muniz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1722 to 1574, a 148-point edge.

André Muniz enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

André Muniz finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Antonio Arroyo 90%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.