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Combat Edge Intelligence

André Muniz vs Daniel Kelly

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

24-8-0Record13-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
78"Reach70,5"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

André MunizNow 1703
If they win+12→ 1715
If they lose-12→ 1691
Daniel KellyNow 1701
If they win+16→ 1717
If they lose-16→ 1685

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1707 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.04
Sig. strikes / min
3.62
50%
Strike accuracy
39%
2.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.64
51%
Strike defense
62%
4.02
Takedown avg.
1.86
49%
Takedown accuracy
34%
36%
Takedown defense
79%
1.19
Submission avg.
0.31

Trajectory

André MunizDaniel Kelly
170017502016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (17%)
KO/TKO
3 (23%)
15 (63%)
Submission
5 (38%)
5 (21%)
Decision
5 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

André Muniz78%
Daniel Kelly 22%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes André Muniz a 78% favorite over Daniel Kelly in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1703 vs 1701), separated by just 2 points.

André Muniz enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Daniel Kelly enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

André Muniz finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Daniel Kelly 62%.

André Muniz carries a 8-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.