Combat Edge Intelligence

André Muniz vs Joilton Lutterbach

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

24-8-0Record38-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
78"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Tata Fight Team Montes ClarosTeamTeam Peregrino

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

André MunizNow 1722
If they win+12→ 1734
If they lose-12→ 1710
Joilton LutterbachNow 1719
If they win+12→ 1731
If they lose-12→ 1707

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1711 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.04
Sig. strikes / min
0
50%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
51%
Strike defense
TBD
4.02
Takedown avg.
TBD
49%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
36%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.19
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

André MunizJoilton Lutterbach
170017502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (17%)
KO/TKO
14 (37%)
15 (63%)
Submission
13 (34%)
5 (21%)
Decision
11 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

André Muniz54%
Joilton Lutterbach 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes André Muniz a 54% favorite over Joilton Lutterbach in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1722 vs 1719), separated by just 3 points.

André Muniz enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Joilton Lutterbach enters on a 5-fight win streak.

André Muniz finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Joilton Lutterbach 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.