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Combat Edge Intelligence

André Muniz vs Joilton Lutterbach

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

24-8-0Record38-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
78"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

André MunizNow 1703
If they win+12→ 1715
If they lose-12→ 1691
Joilton LutterbachNow 1706
If they win+12→ 1718
If they lose-12→ 1694

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1707 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.04
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
50%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
51%
Strike defense
Not available
4.02
Takedown avg.
Not available
49%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
36%
Takedown defense
Not available
1.19
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

André MunizJoilton Lutterbach
17001750202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (17%)
KO/TKO
14 (37%)
15 (63%)
Submission
13 (34%)
5 (21%)
Decision
11 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

André Muniz69%
Joilton Lutterbach 31%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes André Muniz a 69% favorite over Joilton Lutterbach in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joilton Lutterbach's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1703 vs 1706), separated by just 3 points.

André Muniz enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

André Muniz finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Joilton Lutterbach 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.