AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

André Muniz vs Ronaldo Souza

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

24-8-0Record26-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
78"Reach72"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

Ronaldo Souza is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — André Muniz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

André MunizNow 1703
If they win+14→ 1717
If they lose-10→ 1693
Ronaldo SouzaNow 1749
If they win+10→ 1759
If they lose-14→ 1735

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1707 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1727 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.04
Sig. strikes / min
2.53
50%
Strike accuracy
47%
2.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.83
51%
Strike defense
62%
4.02
Takedown avg.
2.57
49%
Takedown accuracy
39%
36%
Takedown defense
58%
1.19
Submission avg.
1.34

Trajectory

André MunizRonaldo Souza
1700175018002019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (17%)
KO/TKO
8 (31%)
15 (63%)
Submission
14 (54%)
5 (21%)
Decision
4 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

André Muniz60%
Ronaldo Souza 40%Elo baseline: 43%

The Combat Edge model makes André Muniz a 60% favorite over Ronaldo Souza in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ronaldo Souza's way (43%).

Ronaldo Souza holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1749 to 1703, a 46-point edge.

André Muniz enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ronaldo Souza enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

André Muniz finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Ronaldo Souza 85%.

André Muniz carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.