André Muniz vs Ronaldo Souza
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-8-0Record26-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
78"Reach72"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Tata Fight Team Montes ClarosTeamFusion X-Cel Performance
What's at stake
Ronaldo Souza is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — André Muniz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1735
If they lose-11→ 1711
If they win+11→ 1760
If they lose-13→ 1736
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1711 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1726 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
André MunizRonaldo Souza
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
André Muniz70%
Ronaldo Souza 30%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes André Muniz a 70% favorite over Ronaldo Souza in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ronaldo Souza's way (46%).
Ronaldo Souza holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1749 to 1722, a 27-point edge.
André Muniz enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ronaldo Souza enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
André Muniz finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Ronaldo Souza 85%.
André Muniz carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.